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    Latest 2017 and 2018 Global Semiconductor Sales and Sales Growth Predictions Derived From The Cowan LRA Forecasting Model

      Mike Cowan
     Dec 11, 2017

    This provides a summary of the just updated forecast numbers gleaned from the recently posted (December 8th) WSTS October 2017 HBR, Historical Billings Report. The first table details the month-by-month evolution (January through Octber, respectively) of the yearly forecast numbers for both 2017 and 2018 global semiconductor sales and corresponding sales growth expectations as derived from exercising the Cowan LRA forecasting model. The second table reveals by-month 2017 YTD, Year To Date, cumulative sales through October and the corresponding YTD sales growth percentages compared to the appropriate 2016 YTD sales numbers. Also included in the table are the model’s projected forecast expectations for both November 2017 YTD sales as well as the full year 2017 sales expectations. Finally, the third table compares the two most recently generated forecast numbers published by the WSTS (their AUTUMN 2017 market forecast) and the monthly updated Cowan LRA Model’s forecast expectations derived from the just posted (December 8th, 2017) WSTS October 2017 HBR sales numbers. Take Aways: • The latest monthly forecasted global semiconductor sales for 2017 garnered from the Cowan LRA forecasting model again surpassed $400B (at $405.3B – see Table 1) with year-over-year sales growth projected to be 19.6 percent. • However, 2018 year-o-year sales growth relative to 2017 is predicted to drop to around 3.2 percent with 2018 sales to be up by $13.1B over 2017 sales. • According to Table 3, which is included in the attached file, the WSTS’s Autumn 2017 market forecast numbers (both actual sales and yr-o-yr sales growths) are slightly more bullish than the Cowan LRA forecasting model for 2017 and more bullish for 2018. Mike Cowan, semiconductor industry market watcher and developer of the Cowan LRA, Linear Regression Analysis, Model for forecasting worldwide, overall semiconductor sales.

    Views: 763
    Domain: Electronics
    Category: Semiconductors

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